As of August 4, 2019, I have been making a determination with a systematic content that “WORLD IS ON THE BEST OF DISASTER” (which is one of the topics in the first part of my second book, which will be published soon).

In summary, the WESTERN TYPE CIVILIZATION design, based on brutal capitalism/globalization, prioritizing the welfare of an elitist group with double standards, has plunged our world and civilization into a swamp.

The economic-administrative rules and regime that this civilization initially dictated for the production and existence of prosperity, and then everyone positioned themselves according to this global regime in order to live without principles and virtues, our world/civilization as a whole, ” i- Eco/Political, ii- Ecological( global climate change), iii- Individually/Societal”, and our world has entered the age of “disasters (natural) and calamities (diseases)”.

Global 5 macro eco/political swamp

For example, let’s look at the current disasters, the global political economy (i). There are 5 massive simultaneous macro-eco/political swamps. (a) A massive INCOME DISTRIBUTION (wealth in the hands of a very small minority). (b) Heavily indebted states and heavy public debt stocks-budget deficits (3.5 times world GDP). (C) There are PRIVATE SECTOR-COMPANIES that are heavily indebted. (d) There are INDIVIDUALS who are over-indebted-credited. (E) There is an artificially inflated financial system and asset prices based on an unrequited supply of dollars.

The global eco/political and financial system has already been experiencing intermittent heart spasms since 1994,1997,1999, 2000,2008,2020 etc. and life expectancy is extended by CPR/bypass surgeries.

All these macro fundamental data tell us the following at the stage we have arrived at. If, in the world 2023-2030 period; (i) a new science-technological leap/and (ii) parallel to the global economic-administrative paradigm change, a new high value-added green/circular/smart new production-consumption and sharing (and accordingly managerial new technology) will replace linear economy and conventional technologies. If it fails to move to a system) model, it will be plunged into total chaos.

I predict that this global WESTERN TYPE CIVILIZATION, based on linear economy and conventional technologies and designed under the leadership of the dollar/USA since 2019, will drag our world/civilization into a great disaster/chaos. And now, as of 2020, we have entered into this process irreversibly.

US-CHINA power struggle

CHINA, positioning itself according to this design, vacuuming and integrating its near (including far) geography, starting to become even stronger than the main designer (player) USA over time, and becoming the biggest “transformer and rule maker” in the next 10 years. It is the country that will become a “power”.

The biggest enemy and fear/threat of the USA, which derives its existence and power from its military deterrent power (and nuclear) and dollars (the only power that can print money/create financing), is CHINA. Because CHINA has turned into a substitute power for the USA at the stage it has arrived. This situation is unacceptable for the global position of the USA, because if it loses this power it will have to compromise its prosperity and power. So all other threats and fears are secondary to the US.

The USA does everything to erode this rising power of China and partially prolong its hegemony process, otherwise it is the biggest threat to its existence. Now, for this purpose, looking at the long-term cost-benefit, it has plunged RUSSIA into the Ukrainian quagmire and forcibly consolidated the EU eco/politically and militarily. The USA is trying to turn and prevent CHINA from every direction by using all the last trump cards-weapons. In this way, it is trying to drag the world towards trade wars against China with a controlled, elitist strategy.

However, for the USA, these will be the last struggles and will not be a cure. Because our world/civilization is rapidly moving towards the brink of disaster due to the 3 issues I have mentioned, and especially (i) the global eco/political and (ii) ecological system is about to collapse. Unfortunately, the critical value is about to be exceeded in both. We are too close to the threshold (the irreversible critical stage) for the collapse of the global eco/political system.

We will enter the ECONOMIC ICE AGE for a while.

Just as our world will enter a period of extreme global warming due to excessive carbon emissions, it will also enter the ECONOMIC ICE AGE for a while due to the 5 basic macro reasons I have listed above and the money (especially the dollar) that has lost its money function.

In the 2023-2030 period, there will be an unprecedented global eco/political collapse caused by the USA and the dollar-based financial system. At this stage, the dollar is not only the problem of the USA, but the problem of the whole world, and the revenge of the money taken from the sacred gold standard is also near.

The world will experience a great erosion of assets, everything (assets) on earth that finds value and price with the dollar’s perception/perception will capsize. In the period of 2023-2030, the escape from the dollar (US bonds) will begin (when the dollar rate reaches binary figures) and when the critical minimum stage is exceeded, this crisis will turn into an uncontrolled and perfect storm.

Before our world enters the ECONOMIC ICE AGE, there will be 2 possible alternative paths in macro terms.

Alternative 1: Controlled and organized crisis / collapse

When the global eco/political trend starts to give stronger signals of collapse (but before it is fully reflected to the people on the street), the USA has advised all global countries (mainly the G7-G20) to exchange their US bonds/bills at the discounted price (with a financial plan to spread it to maturity). will offer.

In other words, it will ask for some of its debts to be written off, and in return it will accept a change in the dollar-based monetary system (the ones who cleared their debts will press to get this concession) and the world will be tied to a new monetary standard.

In fact, in this new model, maybe a new dollar (in line with the new agreement) will come to the fore and the old one will be replaced with a certain discount rate. In other words, those who have both US bonds and dollars will lose at the same time and the balance will be reached. Government debts of developing countries can also be included in this bargain, that is, debt write-off at a certain rate (with the goal of Great Reset) may come into question.

Alternative 2: Crash with an uncontrolled, flawless market storm

In this alternative, even if the USA enters into the process of implementing the 1st alternative in the background with other countries and there are some intentions and organized efforts in this direction, since the countries will have difficulty in reaching an agreement on give-and-take on different global eco/political and strategic issues and the negotiation processes will continue. Due to its nature, market dynamics may not provide you with a common wisdom and consensus before the crisis, even if you want to.

 At that time, everyone can act like the captain who saves their ship, looking at their own cost-benefit, and the crisis can turn into an uncontrolled/perfect storm and capsize everyone. In this way, instead of a solution before the crisis, a solution can come to the fore after the crisis. The parties can come together according to the new power balances after the crisis and provide a new consensus on the issues in the 1st alternative.

In the final analysis, in any case, the Western Type Civilization, which was built after the industry and was dominant, brought our world to the brink of disaster (in the 3 issues I mentioned above).

Simultaneously and in parallel/alternative to this collapse, I foresee that a new civilization fiction based on “GREEN/CYCLE/SMART” will flourish with more virtuous codes of individual-society.”